Don’t Fear Another Financial Collapse Until This Indicator Soars

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If you weren’t with us last week, you need to know that on Fridays I embrace the adage that “a picture is worth a thousand words.”

I select a handful of graphics to put important economic and investing news into perspective for you.

This week, I’m dishing on digital and print media, protesters and unfounded fears over a financial collapse.

So say “goodbye” to long-winded commentary. And “say hello” to easy-to-understand pictures with some quick-hit observations.

Print Media: Dead or Dying? Who Cares!

The last time I suggested print media is dead, some old-school readers rioted (via nasty emails, of course). Remember, we’re in the Digital Age. Old-school protests don’t work (more on that in a bit).

Anyway, apparently some of you still get The Grey Lady on Sundays and love thumbing through her dew-moistened pages. So, yes, technically, print media isn’t dead. But it’s only a matter of time.

Here’s more proof, courtesy of thinker and blogger extraordinaire, Mark Perry.

Over the last 60 years, newspaper advertising’s fallen off a cliff.

Fun fact: The year advertising revenue peaked is the same year blogging software first appeared, according to NYU journalism professor, Jay Rosen. Coincidence? Not so much.

It’s hard to stay in business when your primary source of revenue is on a crash course with zero. Unless you’re the U.S. Postal Service, that is.

Whether you call print media “dead” or “dying,” it doesn’t matter. The investment implications remain the same. Avoid traditional print publishers like the plague. Even if they pay dividends like Gannett Co. (NYSE: GCI).

Foiled Again, Batman

Now let’s move on to people that are actually protesting physically, not digitally: the Occupy Wall Street folks.

Their mission? To fight against “the greed and corruption of the 1%.” In the spirit of Dr. Phil, “How’s that working out for them?”

Not so good.

Since the self-professed “leaderless resistance movement” began a year ago, the S&P 500 Index is up 20%.

Let’s give the protesters the benefit of the doubt for a second. They really just want the big, bad financial sector to implode on itself, right? And that must have happened by now, right?

Foiled again, Batman.

The S&P 500 financial sector is up even more since the protests began.

Maybe the financial collapse is right around the corner then? Or not.

While chatter about it certainly keeps increasing, the most reliable indicator of impending financial doom isn’t signaling any trouble ahead.

Turns out, Credit Default Swaps (CDS) – which represent the cost of insurance against a default – are falling precipitously in the financial sector.

You’ll recall, spiking CDS prices preceded the Great Recession and all the European bailouts. So the next time someone tries to scare you stockless about a financial collapse, check out CDS prices before you even think about believing it.

That’s it for today. Before you sign off, though, do us a favor. Let us know what you think about our pretty pictures today – or any of our recent work at Wall Street Daily – by sending an email to feedback@wallstreetdaily.com, leaving a comment on our website, or catching us on Facebook or Google+.

Thanks and enjoy the weekend!

Ahead of the tape,

Louis Basenese

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4 Comments

  • Lawrence Sarsoun

    I am the trader from ETF Traders and we are on our way from 1500 to 100,000. We hope to get there in about 9 months to a year. If you are interested, go to sarsoun@hotmail.com. Thank you.

  • That credit default swap chart is interesting. The spike before the financial collapse likely reflected the fact that markets didn't price in the probability of governments intervening. But know we have the knowledge that central bankers will go to any length to paper over weakness of th emoney center banks and wall street in general. So what we may really be seeing is a reflection of the new reality that no matter how weak individual components may be and reagrdless of the probability of failure in a true capitalistic market, we will print and pass out enough money to all the participants to avoid an overt failure.

    Still, it is the reflection of the reality in the new financial paradigm so it may still bear watching as the 'canary' in the mine but it certainly doesn't have the reliability today that it had a decade ago.

  • I gave up on the news media before the last election. Why watch it, read it or listen to it because its pure propaganda. My only use for the national news is to see what sponsors should be boycotted for paying for the socialist/progressive/communist propaganda they pump into our atmosphere. I haven't eaten a can of Campbell's soup or used a single Gilette product in over four years. Every month or so I ad another traitorous company to my boycott list and I hope they all go broke. Do you hear me Jack in the Box, AT&T,Girl Scouts, Heinz and the DNC.

  • Well, I guess all is good with the world of finance. And I am even happier now that I know that I only have to watch one indicator. What am I going to do with all my free time? Those damn protesters. They should have been buying instead of selling?

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