8 Companies With Strong Cash Flow

Wondering what type of company makes a good investment? The kind of company with a good cash flow. Get information on 8 companies that meet this standard and how to identify this in other companies!

Kiplinger reveals…

If you own a small business—say, a dry-cleaning service—your goal is to put as many dollars in your pocket as you can. You define profits as the cash you keep, not numbers on a page that fit a set of government-mandated accounting rules. Now consider an investor who buys stock in a publicly traded company. She’s just as much an owner as you are the proprietor of the dry-cleaning store, but her concern tends to be net income or earnings per share, figures that analysts follow and report on with great drama every quarter. She’s preoccupied with such measures as the relationship between a stock’s price and the company’s earnings per share, or with the amount by which earnings are expected to rise this year compared with last year.

If you look at earnings alone, however, you miss the bigger picture. Paper profits are fine, but without cash, a business can’t expand or attract investors. And the earnings figures produced under generally accepted accounting principles, or GAAP, are a lot easier to manipulate—as firms such as Enron and WorldCom have shown—than the straightforward counting of cash.

When I think of cash, I think of Apple (symbol AAPL), a great company that gen­erates tons of the green stuff. Between 2007 and 2011, Apple’s net income—the headline annual profits that most investors focus on—rose by $22 billion. But over the same period, annual cash flow jumped from $6 billion to $38 billion.

Unfortunately, the term cash flow can be as deceptive as the term earnings. To explain, I’m forced to descend into the accounting weeds, so bear with me. To calculate cash flow, you start with reported net income, then add back expenses that do not require spending cash. Usually, a company’s main noncash expense is depreciation, the annual charge that accounts for the declining value of an asset, such as a machine or a building.

Imagine that a business spent $10 million in 2009 to buy a machine. Under GAAP, the company doesn’t count the $10 million as an expense in that year; instead, the firm depreciates it, year by year, over the useful life of the machine—for example, counting $1 million as an expense against reported net income annually until 2019.

Other noncash expenses include changes in accounts receivable and payable and the amortization (another yearly write-off) of goodwill, which is the premium over book value (assets minus liabilities) that a firm might pay when it acquires another company.

What I have just described is operating cash flow—the number on which analysts typically focus. But let’s cut to the chase. What really counts is not operating cash flow but free cash flow—what Warren Buffett calls “owner earnings,” or money that is available to shareholders if the business chooses to distribute it. In the 1986 annual report of his holding company, Berkshire Hathaway, Buffett explains the notion at length. Owner earnings, he writes, are “(a) reported earnings plus (b) depreciation, depletion, amortization, and certain other non-cash charges … less (c) the average annual amount of capitalized expenditures for plant and equipment, etc., that the business requires to fully maintain its long-term competitive position.” When (c) exceeds (b), Buffett says, reported “official” earnings exceed owner earnings—a red flag for investors, but one that analysts don’t always heed. (Another way of saying this is that the ratio of free cash flow to earnings is below 1.0.)

“All of this,” Buffett writes, “points up the absurdity of the ‘cash flow’ numbers that are often set forth in Wall Street reports. These numbers routinely include (a) plus (b)—but do not subtract (c).”

Subtracting (c) is essential. If a business has to keep plowing money back into plant and equipment, then it can’t give that money to the owners. Remember the dry-cleaning business. If, as the proprietor, your profits are $100,000 this year, but the entire amount has to go into a new steam press, you’re left with no cash for yourself.

Picks That Go With the Free Cash Flow

Consider Chesapeake Energy (CHK), a company that has had severe difficulties lately. A cash-flow analysis could have offered warning signals that many investors missed. For instance, in 2011, Chesapeake had depreciation of $1.9 billion but new capital expenditures (cap-ex, for short) of $9 billion. Chesapeake’s free cash flow has been negative for the past six years—that is, its capital outlays have exceeded its cash flow.

In stark contrast with Chesapeake is Microsoft (MSFT). Its depreciation and capital expenditures have both averaged about $2.5 billion annually for the past three years, an insignificant number for a company that was expected to generate operating cash flow of about $30 billion for the fiscal year that ended June 30, and free cash flow of $28 billion, a figure that’s risen by 75% in three years. (Stocks in boldface are those I recommend; you can find free cash flow numbers at www.morningstar.com.)

Now compare firms that develop energy or make semiconductors with those that glean commissions by selling travel services. Priceline.com (PCLN) last year had cash flow of $1.3 billion, with capital expenditures of just $47 million. For the past three years, depreciation has averaged $70 million annually; cap-ex, $28 million. Expedia (EXPE) had cash flow of $826 million in 2011, with depreciation of $219 million and cap-ex of $208 million.

A standout in an unlikely business is CF Industries (CF), a fertilizer producer based in Deerfield, Ill. In 2011, its free cash flow roughly doubled, to a hefty $1.8 billion, from the previous year, as it had from the preceding year as well. Lately, CF’s cap-ex has been well below its depreciation, but the company’s revenues keep rising. CF’s strong cash performance has, quite naturally, spurred its board to boost the dividend—from an annual rate of 40 cents per share in 2010 to a rate of $1.60 today.

No single measure indicates healthy cash flow, but I look at whether free cash flow exceeds GAAP earnings by at least 10%—in other words, an FCF/E ratio of at least 1.1 (I use a three-year average). So, in CF’s case, the FCF/E ratio is 1.2; for Priceline, 1.2; for Microsoft, 1.1. Other FCF favorites of mine have these ratios: Cisco Systems (CSCO), 1.4; Whole Foods Market (WFM), 1.7; and Apollo Group (APOL), a for-profit educator, 1.3.

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